Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Advanced Box Score: Air Force 79, Army 68

Conventional basketball box scores give you a lot of familiar stats. Here's an attempt to go deeper and tell the fuller story of a basketball game. Look at the advanced numbers from Army's season-opening loss to Air Force.


STORYBOX: AIR FORCE 79, ARMY 68

PART ONE: ADJUSTED FREE THROW SHOOTING


Adjusted free throw shooting incorporates one-and-one free throws into overall team percentages.

EXAMPLE: Team A makes 14 of 18 free throws (77 percent shooting), but it misses two front ends of one-and-ones. Because a missed front end results in the denial of a second foul shot, Team A essentially made 14 of 20 free throws (70 percent). Team A took 18 shots, but it lost the right to take two more shots due to front-end misses. This is adjusted free throw shooting. Naturally, this is something that applies to scholastic basketball, not professional basketball.


Free throws made/attempted for AFA

Front ends of one-and-ones: 2 of 4

Overall makes and attempts: 17 of 26, 65 percent

Adjusted FT shooting totals: 17 of 28, 61 percent

Free throws made/attempted for ARMY

Front ends of one-and-ones: none attempted

Overall makes and attempts: 10 of 13, 77 percent – no adjusted total

PART TWO: SCORING RUNS AND DROUGHTS

AFA RUNS OF 7 POINTS OR MORE:


12-0 from 10:53 to 8:46 of the second half

Score change: 49-44 Army to 56-44 Air Force

8-0 from 6:33 to 3:32 of the second half

Score change: 60-55 Air Force to 68-55 Air Force

ARMY RUNS OF 7 POINTS OR MORE:

7-0 from 16:46 to 15:03 of the first half

Score change: 6-2 Air Force to 9-6 Army

AIR FORCE FIELD GOAL DROUGHTS OF 3 MINUTES OR MORE:

3:03, from 18:06 to 15:03 of the first half.

Score change: 6-2 Air Force at the start of the drought, tied 9-9 when the drought ended.

3:46, from 12:12 to 8:26 of the first half.

Score change: 15-11 Army at the start of the drought, 18-14 Army when the drought ended.

7:18, from 6:05 of the first half to 18:47 of the second half

Score change: 24-21 Air Force at the start of the drought, 33-30 Army when the drought ended. Air Force did make four free throws during this field goal drought.

ARMY FIELD GOAL DROUGHTS OF 3 MINUTES OR MORE:

3:04, from 19:50 to 16:46 of the first half

Score change during the drought: 2-0 Army at the start of the drought, 6-4 Air Force when the drought ended.

3:34, from 12:47 to 9:13 of the first half

Score change: 15-9 Army at the start of the drought, 18-11 Army when the drought ended.

3:04, from 4:53 to 1:49 of the first half

Score change: Tied 26-26 at the start of the drought, tied 28-28 when the drought ended.

3:30, from 11:11 to 7:41 of the second half

Score change: 49-44 Army at the start of the drought, 58-53 when the drought ended. Army made one free throw during this field goal drought.

4:46, from 7:41 to 2:55 of the second half

Score change: 58-53 Air Force at the start of the drought, 68-58 Air Force when the drought ended. Army made three free throws during this field goal drought.

PART THREE: SECOND-CHANCE POINTS/MISCELLANY

AFA second-chance points: 6 points

ARMY second-chance points: 7 points

OTHER NOTES

--Player-control fouls: 2 by AFA, 1 by ARMY

-- Air Force twice made three-point shots while getting fouled. The Falcons missed the ensuing foul shot after the first three-point basket, but they completed the four-point play the second time.